Weather

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

October 20, 2020

000

ABNT20 KNHC 201125

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Tue Oct 20 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Epsilon, located over the central Atlantic several

hundred miles southeast of Bermuda.

A trough of low pressure extends from the northwestern Caribbean

Sea near the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula

southeastward into the southwestern Caribbean Sea. This system is

producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the east

of the trough axis. Upper-level winds are expected to remain

unfavorable for significant development while the system drifts

westward over the next couple of days. Regardless of develop...

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Graphics

October 20, 2020

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 20 Oct 2020 08:52:56 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 20 Oct 2020 08:52:56 GMT

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Discussion Number 5

October 20, 2020

Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Oct 20 2020

ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Storm Epsilon Discussion Number

5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL272020
500 AM AST Tue Oct 20 2020

Epsilon continues to have a non-standard appearance in satellite
imagery this morning. While an area of convection is near and over
the center, the center is also near the western end of a baroclinic
zone, and that is giving the storm the look of a occluded
extratropical low. In addition, water vapor and air mass imagery
indicate that an upper-level trough is close to the system in the
southwestern semicircle. Satellite intensity estimates have not
changed significantly since the last advisory, so the initial
intensity is unchanged at 40 kt. Epsilon remains a large cyclone
with gale-force o...

read more »

Summary for Tropical Storm Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)

October 20, 2020

...EPSILON DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...
As of 5:00 AM AST Tue Oct 20
the center of Epsilon was located near 25.6, -54.7
with movement ENE at 3 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 998 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 5

October 20, 2020

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020

037
WTNT22 KNHC 200847
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL272020
0900 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EPSILON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 54.7W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT

3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 60SE 50SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 60SE 270SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N ...

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Public Advisory Number 5

October 20, 2020

Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Oct 20 2020

038
WTNT32 KNHC 200847
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Epsilon Advisory Number

5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL272020
500 AM AST Tue Oct 20 2020

...EPSILON DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 54.7W
ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Epsilon.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
------------------...

read more »

Summary for Tropical Storm Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)

October 20, 2020

...EPSILON DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...
As of 5:00 AM AST Tue Oct 20
the center of Epsilon was located near 25.6, -54.7
with movement ENE at 3 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 998 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

read more »

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

October 20, 2020

000

ABNT20 KNHC 200545

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Tue Oct 20 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Epsilon, located over the central Atlantic several

hundred miles southeast of Bermuda.

A trough of low pressure extends southeastward from the

southeastern Gulf of Mexico across the northwestern Caribbean Sea

to a broad low pressure system located over the southwestern

Caribbean Sea. This system is currently accompanied by

disorganixed shower and thunderstorm activity. The disturbance is

expected to consolidate over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during

the next day or so before moving slowly westward toward the Yucatan

pe...

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Graphics

October 19, 2020

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 20 Oct 2020 02:41:48 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 20 Oct 2020 02:41:48 GMT

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Discussion Number 4

October 19, 2020

Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020

000
WTNT42 KNHC 200239
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Epsilon Discussion Number

4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL272020
1100 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020

Water vapor imagery indicates that Epsilon has been interacting with
a shear line/dissipating cold front from the north and with a
negatively tilted upper-level trough from the south. Furthermore, a
pronounced dry slot has developed in the eastern semicircle, which
has severed the convective band that had been wrapping about
three-fourths of the way around the circulation. Overall, the cloud
pattern more closely resembles that of an occluded extratropical
low, with a small inner-core tropical feature. A 20/0025Z ASCAT-A
pass indicated a small fetch of mostly straight-flow 40-kt winds
located ...

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 4

October 19, 2020

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020

000
WTNT22 KNHC 200239
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL272020
0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EPSILON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 55.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT

2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 60SE

0SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 60SE 240SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 55.3W A...

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Public Advisory Number 4

October 19, 2020

Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020

000
WTNT32 KNHC 200239
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Epsilon Advisory Number

4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL272020
1100 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020

...EPSILON MEANDERING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WELL TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 55.3W
ABOUT 750 MI...1210 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Epsilon.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM ...

read more »

Summary for Tropical Storm Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)

October 19, 2020

...EPSILON MEANDERING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...
As of 11:00 PM AST Mon Oct 19
the center of Epsilon was located near 25.3, -55.3
with movement N at 2 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 998 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

read more »

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

October 19, 2020

000

ABNT20 KNHC 192325

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Mon Oct 19 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Epsilon, located over the central Atlantic several

hundred miles southeast of Bermuda.

A trough of low pressure extends southeastward across the

northwestern Caribbean Sea to a broad low pressure system located

over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Associated shower and

thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and is primarily located

over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. This large disturbance is

expected to consolidate over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during

the next day or so before move drifting westward toward the Yu...

read more »

News Item on Tropical Storm Epsilon 6pm update
News Item on Tropical Storm Epsilon (6pm update)

October 19, 2020

NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL STORM EPSILON ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION AT 6PM, MONDAY 19TH OCTOBER 2020...

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Discussion Number 3

October 19, 2020

Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020

000
WTNT42 KNHC 192051
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Epsilon Discussion Number

3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL272020
500 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020

Earlier this afternoon, Epsilon had a hybrid-type structure in
satellite imagery, with a partially exposed center and a broken
convective band that wrapped around the northern and eastern sides
of the storm. However, recent satellite imagery shows a small
convective burst near the center that gives Epsilon a more tropical
appearance. ASCAT-B/C passes from this morning indicate the system
has a large and asymmetric wind field, with 34-kt winds extending
over 200 nm away from the center in the northern semicircle. This
is, in part, attributable to the environmental pressure gradient
with a strong...

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Graphics

October 19, 2020

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 19 Oct 2020 20:50:49 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 19 Oct 2020 20:50:49 GMT

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Public Advisory Number 3

October 19, 2020

Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020

000
WTNT32 KNHC 192047
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Epsilon Advisory Number

3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL272020
500 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020

...EPSILON REMAINS STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 55.5W
ABOUT 730 MI...1180 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Epsil...

read more »

Summary for Tropical Storm Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)

October 19, 2020

...EPSILON REMAINS STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
As of 5:00 PM AST Mon Oct 19
the center of Epsilon was located near 25.5, -55.5
with movement Stationary.
The minimum central pressure was 998 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

read more »

Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 3

October 19, 2020

Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2020

000
WTNT22 KNHC 192046
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL272020
2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 55.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT

0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 60SE

0SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 60SE 30SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 55.5W ...

read more »