Hurricane

Tropical Storm Karen Graphics

September 22, 2019

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 17:48:49 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 15:32:27 GMT

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Tropical Storm Karen Public Advisory Number 2A

September 22, 2019

Issued at 200 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

000
WTNT32 KNHC 221748
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Karen Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL122019
200 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

...CENTER OF KAREN MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...GUSTY WINDS AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 62.3W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM N OF GRENADA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WSW OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Trin...

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Summary for Tropical Storm Karen (AT2/AL122019)

September 22, 2019

...CENTER OF KAREN MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ...GUSTY WINDS AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...
As of 2:00 PM AST Sun Sep 22
the center of Karen was located near 12.7, -62.3
with movement WNW at 13 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

September 22, 2019

000

ABNT20 KNHC 221721

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles south-southwest of

Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Karen, located just west of the

southern Windward Islands.

Satellite imagery indicates that a broad area of low pressure has

formed in association with a strong tropical wave over the far

eastern Atlantic. The associated thunderstorm activity continues

to show signs of organization, and a tropical depression or

tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight while

the system moves generally westward over the eastern tropical

Atla...

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Tropical Storm Karen Graphics

September 22, 2019

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 15:01:29 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 15:01:29 GMT

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Tropical Storm Karen Forecast Discussion Number 2

September 22, 2019

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

000
WTNT42 KNHC 221459
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Karen Discussion Number

2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL122019
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

Radar and satellite imagery shows that convection associated with
Karen has lost some organization since advisories were initiated
early this morning. However, surface observations and a very
recently arriving ASCAT data show that the circulation is
well-defined, and is currently passing through the southern Windward
Islands. Given the current sprawling structure, nearby dry
mid-level air, and moderate northwesterly shear, no significant
strengthening is expected through 48 hours. In fact, the system may
have trouble surviving over the eastern Caribbean Sea as the global
models predict an increase in...

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Summary for Tropical Storm Karen (AT2/AL122019)

September 22, 2019

...KAREN BRINGING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...
As of 11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 22
the center of Karen was located near 12.5, -61.7
with movement WNW at 13 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Karen Public Advisory Number 2

September 22, 2019

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

000
WTNT32 KNHC 221454
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Karen Advisory Number

2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL122019
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

...KAREN BRINGING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 61.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM N OF GRENADA
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSW OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the U.S. Virgin Islands
and Puerto Rico, includ...

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Tropical Storm Karen Forecast Advisory Number 2

September 22, 2019

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019

000
WTNT22 KNHC 221453
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL122019
1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM ...

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Tropical Storm Jerry Graphics

September 22, 2019

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 14:44:29 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 14:44:29 GMT

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Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast Discussion Number 21

September 22, 2019

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

000
WTNT45 KNHC 221443
TCDAT5

Tropical Storm Jerry Discussion Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL102019
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

Jerry is not well organized on satellite images, with a
ragged-looking CDO and limited banding features over the eastern
semicircle. Reports from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate a slight fall in central pressure but the maximum winds
remain near 55 kt. The storm is under the influence of westerly
shear, and the numerical guidance does not indicated that this
shear will relax during the forecast period. Therefore, only slight
strengthening is allowed for in the official forecast. This is a
little above most of the model guidance.

Jerry continues to move north-northwestward, or 340/9...

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Tropical Storm Jerry Public Advisory Number 21

September 22, 2019

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

000
WTNT35 KNHC 221442
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL102019
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

...JERRY CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 66.6W
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Jerry.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical ...

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Summary for Tropical Storm Jerry (AT5/AL102019)

September 22, 2019

...JERRY CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
As of 11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 22
the center of Jerry was located near 25.7, -66.6
with movement NNW at 10 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 997 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast Advisory Number 21

September 22, 2019

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019

000
WTNT25 KNHC 221441
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL102019
1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JERRY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 66.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT

9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE

0SW

0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 90SE

0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 75SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REP...

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Tropical Storm Karen Public Advisory Number 1A

September 22, 2019

Issued at 800 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

000
WTNT32 KNHC 221153
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Karen Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL122019
800 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

...CENTER OF KAREN PASSING JUST NORTH OF TOBAGO...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.9N 60.9W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ESE OF GRENADA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSE OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Barbados has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WA...

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Tropical Storm Karen Graphics

September 22, 2019

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 11:53:33 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 09:32:33 GMT

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

September 22, 2019

000

ABNT20 KNHC 221115

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda. The

National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on newly

formed Tropical Storm Karen located near the southern Windward

Islands.

Satellite images show that the thunderstorm activity associated

with a strong tropical wave that has moved off the west coast of

Africa this morning is quickly becoming better organized.

Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and

a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later

today or tonigh...

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Summary for Tropical Storm Karen (AT2/AL122019)

September 22, 2019

...TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORMS JUST EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
As of 5:00 AM AST Sun Sep 22
the center of Karen was located near 11.9, -60.2
with movement WNW at 9 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Karen Update Statement

September 22, 2019

Issued at 510 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

248
WTNT62 KNHC 220908
TCUAT2

Tropical Storm Karen Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL122019
510 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...

The government of Barbados has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for St.
Vincent and the Grenadines.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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Summary for Tropical Storm Karen (AT2/AL122019)

September 22, 2019

...TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORMS JUST EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
As of 5:00 AM AST Sun Sep 22
the center of Karen was located near 11.9, -60.2
with movement WNW at 9 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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