5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 01 Nov 2019 02:33:52 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 01 Nov 2019 03:23:12 GMT

...REBEKAH FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON FRIDAY...
As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Oct 31
the center of Rebekah was located near 40.8, -31.3
with movement E at 21 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 995 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

454

ABNT20 KNHC 312321

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical

Storm Rebekah located over the north Atlantic, several hundred

miles northwest of the Azores.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are persisting nearly 1000

miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Development of this this

disturbance, if any, will occur during the next day or two while it

moves generally westward across the central Atlantic. Thereafter,

upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further

development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$

Forecaster Avila

Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Oct 31 2019

000
WTNT34 KNHC 312031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Rebekah Advisory Number

5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL192019
500 PM AST Thu Oct 31 2019

...REBEKAH EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERNIGHT...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.1N 33.5W
ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM NW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Rebekah
was located near latitude 41.1 North, longitude 33.5 West. The storm
is moving toward the east near 20 mph (31 km/h). This general
motion is expected through tomorrow.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. The storm should weaken and become a post-tropical cyclone by
this evening or early tomorrow.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Rebekah is forecast to be a post-tropical cyclone when it moves near
the Azores overnight. Please see products issued by the
Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for hazard
information in the Azores related to Rebekah, which can found at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake