Weather

Tropical Storm Jerry Public Advisory Number 6A

September 18, 2019

Issued at 800 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

000
WTNT35 KNHC 182342
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL102019
800 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

...ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 51.2W
ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a Tropical Storm
Watch for Barbuda and Anguilla.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND W...

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Hurricane Humberto Graphics

September 18, 2019

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 23:58:16 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 21:25:04 GMT

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Hurricane Humberto Public Advisory Number 25A

September 18, 2019

Issued at 800 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

000
WTNT34 KNHC 182357
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Hurricane Humberto Intermediate Advisory Number 25A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL092019
800 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUING ON BERMUDA...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS BERMUDA INTO
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 65.0W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM N OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in e...

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Summary for Hurricane Humberto (AT4/AL092019)

September 18, 2019

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUING ON BERMUDA... ...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS BERMUDA INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...
As of 8:00 PM AST Wed Sep 18
the center of Humberto was located near 33.4, -65.0
with movement ENE at 20 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 952 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

September 18, 2019

968

ABNT20 KNHC 182352

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Humberto, located just to the north of Bermuda, and on Tropical

Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward

Islands.

A tropical wave located about 850 miles west of the Cabo Verde

Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some

development of this system is possible while the system approaches

the Windward Islands this weekend or when it moves across the

southeastern Caribbean Sea early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low....

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Tropical Storm Jerry Graphics

September 18, 2019

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 23:44:42 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 21:32:12 GMT

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Tropical Storm Jerry Public Advisory Number 6A

September 18, 2019

Issued at 800 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

000
WTNT35 KNHC 182342
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL102019
800 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

...ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 51.2W
ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a Tropical Storm
Watch for Barbuda and Anguilla.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND W...

read more »

Tropical Storm Jerry Graphics

September 18, 2019

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 21:13:54 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 21:13:54 GMT

read more »

Tropical Storm Jerry Update Statement

September 18, 2019

Issued at 510 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

000
WTNT65 KNHC 182108
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Jerry Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL102019
510 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

The government of the Netherlands has issued a Tropical Storm Watch
for Saba and St. Eustatius.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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Summary for Tropical Storm Jerry (AT5/AL102019)

September 18, 2019

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
As of 5:00 PM AST Wed Sep 18
the center of Jerry was located near 15.0, -50.5
with movement WNW at 15 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Depression Imelda Public Advisory Number 6

September 18, 2019

The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2019

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Hurricane Humberto Forecast Discussion Number 25

September 18, 2019

Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

000
WTNT44 KNHC 182052
TCDAT4

Hurricane Humberto Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL092019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

Normal communications with the Bermuda Weather Service have been
disrupted due to a lightning strike.

Humberto is taking on more of a hybrid-extratropical structure based
on most of the rain shield having been displaced to the left or
poleward side of the circulation now as seen in Bermuda weather
radar data, and also in conventional and passive microwave satellite
imagery. Sustained hurricane-force winds and gusts have been
measured by amateur radio operators across the island, with a peak
gust to 104 mph having been reported thus far at Ports Island,
Bermuda. The initial intensity of 105 kt on the previ...

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Hurricane Humberto Forecast Discussion Number 25

September 18, 2019

Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Hurricane Humberto Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL092019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

Normal communications with the Bermuda Weather Service have been
disrupted due to a lightning strike.

Humberto is taking on more of a hybrid-extratropical structure based
on most of the rain shield having been displaced to the left or
poleward side of the circulation now as seen in Bermuda weather
radar data, and also in conventional and passive microwave satellite
imagery. Sustained hurricane-force winds and gusts have been
measured by amateur radio operators across the island, with a peak
gust to 104 mph having been reported thus far at Ports Island,
Bermuda. The initial intensity of 105 kt on t...

read more »

Hurricane Humberto Graphics

September 18, 2019

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 20:49:06 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 20:49:06 GMT

read more »

Hurricane Humberto Public Advisory Number 25

September 18, 2019

Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

000
WTNT34 KNHC 182046
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Hurricane Humberto Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL092019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS RAKING THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS BERMUDA INTO
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.0N 66.3W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effe...

read more »

Summary for Hurricane Humberto (AT4/AL092019)

September 18, 2019

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS RAKING THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA... ...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS BERMUDA INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...
As of 5:00 PM AST Wed Sep 18
the center of Humberto was located near 33.0, -66.3
with movement ENE at 20 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 952 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.

read more »

Hurricane Humberto Forecast Advisory Number 25

September 18, 2019

Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

000
WTNT24 KNHC 182044
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL092019
2100 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 66.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
EYE DIAMETER 50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......150NE 170SE 150SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 510SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EAC...

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Tropical Storm Jerry Graphics

September 18, 2019

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 20:41:48 GMT



Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 18 Sep 2019 20:41:48 GMT

read more »

Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast Discussion Number 6

September 18, 2019

Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

000
WTNT45 KNHC 182041
TCDAT5

Tropical Storm Jerry Discussion Number

6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL102019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

Jerry continues to strengthen this afternoon, as indicated by 1-min
GOES-16 satellite imagery, with a large burst of convection close
to the center. In addition, microwave data show that the central
structure has improved, displaying a tightly wrapped band near the
center. The initial wind speed is set to 50 kt, on the conservative
side of the intensity estimates.

The storm should become a hurricane on Thursday while it is moving
over very warm waters with light shear. Dropsondes from the NOAA
G-IV aircraft this afternoon show that Jerry is surrounded by some
very dry air in the lower to mid-levels, a...

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Tropical Storm Jerry Public Advisory Number 6

September 18, 2019

Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

000
WTNT35 KNHC 182040
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number

6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL102019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 50.5W
ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of St. Maarten has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
St. Maarten.

Meteo-France has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for St. Martin and...

read more »