668

ABNT20 KNHC 301147

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers continue to show some signs of organization near a strong,

frontal low pressure system located several hundred miles

south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. The nontropical low is

likely to lose its associated fronts this weekend while it moves

southeastward toward slightly warmer waters, and thereafter it could

transition to a subtropical storm later this weekend or early next

week over the central Atlantic. The system is expected to turn

northward and move toward colder waters by the middle of next week.

For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

An area of disturbed weather in the eastern tropical Atlantic is

producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred

miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of

this system is possible over the next couple of days or so as the

disturbance moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the

middle of next week, the system is forecast to move northward over

cooler waters and further development is not expected.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be

found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and

online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$

Forecaster Reinhart

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