Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2022
000
WTNT23 KNHC 070850
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER
4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
AL132022
0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2022
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES...PROVIDENCIA...AND SANTA CATALINA ISLANDS COLOMBIA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM RIOHACHA EASTWARD TO THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA
BORDER
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.
INTERESTS ALONG THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THE DISTURBANCE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS
WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 71.1W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE
0SE
0SW
0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 71.1W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 70.5W
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 12.7N 73.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE
0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.1N 76.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE
0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 13.2N 79.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE
0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 13.2N 82.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE
0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.5N 84.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE
0SE
0SW
0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 14.1N 86.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 16.0N 91.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 71.1W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 07/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
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