000

ABNT20 KNHC 040527

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Tue Oct 4 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

A broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles southwest

of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of

showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear to be

conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is

likely to form in a day or two. Further development should become

less likely late this week due to increasing upper-level winds. The

system is forecast to move generally northwestward over the eastern

tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

East of the Windward Islands:

A tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the southern

Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and

thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible

during the next several days while the wave moves generally westward

at 15 to 20 mph, reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern

Caribbean Sea by midweek and the western Caribbean over the weekend.

Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the progress of

this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$

Forecaster Pasch

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center