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ABNT20 KNHC 021139

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Sun Oct 2 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Cabo

Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and

thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable

for some gradual development during the next several days.

Therefore, a tropical depression is likely to form during the early

or middle part of next week while the system moves westward, then

turns northwestward or northward toward the end of the week over the

eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave

located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands has

increased over the past day or so. Some gradual development of the

wave is possible during the next few days while it moves generally

westward at 15 to 20 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$

Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center