Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

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September 15, 2021

000

ABNT20 KNHC 150554

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Wed Sep 15 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on

Tropical Depression Nicholas, located just west of the Texas and

Louisiana border. Future advisories on Nicholas will be issued by

the Weather Prediction Center.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area

located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands continue

to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are

expected to remain conducive for development, and a tropical

depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while

the system moves generally westward at about 15 mph across the

eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles northeast of

the central Bahamas is producing a large area of disorganized

showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear

marginally conducive for gradual development during the next few

days, and a tropical depression is likely to form while the system

moves north-northwestward to northward across the western Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast of

Africa toward the end of the week. Thereafter, environmental

conditions are forecast to be conducive for development while the

system moves generally west-northwestward to northwestward over the

far eastern Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Public advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center on

Tropical Depression Nicholas can be found under AWIPS header TCPAT4,

WMO header WTNT34 KWNH, and on the web at

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

$$

Forecaster Papin

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center

News date : 09/15/2021    Category : Hurricane, Weather

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