Alert #51 on Hurricane Dorian-Tropical Storm Conditions occuring along NorthEast Coast of Florida

Wed, Sep 4th 2019, 08:21 AM

… TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA...AS DORIAN CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM GRAND BAHAMA…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS WHICH NOW ONLY INCLUDES: ABACO AND GRAND BAHAMA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE BEING EXPERIENCED OR COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN THE MENTIONED ISLANDS WITHIN 48 HOURS.

AT 2 AM EDT, THE EYE OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 79.2 DEGREES WEST. THIS POSITION PUTS THE EYE OF DORIAN ABOUT 160 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FREEPORT, GRAND BAHAMA OR 206 MILES NORTHWEST OF MARSH HARBOUR, ABACO AND 280 MILES NORTHWEST OF NASSAU, NEW PROVIDENCE.

DORIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT NEAR 7 MILES-PER-HOUR AND A SLIGHTLY FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST BY THIS EVENING, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY MORNING. ON THIS TRACK, THE CORE OF HURRICANE DORIAN WILL MOVE DANGEROUSLY CLOSE TO THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MILES PER HOURS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, DORIAN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER, AND TROPICAL STORM-FORCE-WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY’S DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR IN NEW PROVIDENCE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HURRICANE MODELS INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE ACROSS GRAND BAHAMA, AND ABACO THIS MORNING. DESPITE THIS, STRONG FEEDER BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS, INCLUDING BIMINI, THE BERRY ISLANDS, NEW PROVIDENCE, ANDROS, ELEUTHERA, EXUMA, CAT ISLAND, RUM CAY SAN SALVADOR AND LONG ISLAND. WITHIN THESE FEEDER BANDS, THERE WILL BE HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADIC ACTIVITY.

WATER LEVELS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE ON GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND ABACO THROUGHOUT TODAY. NEAR THE COAST, THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. DORIAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 30 INCHES; FLOODING CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN SEVERAL AREAS ON THE ISLANDS OF NEW PROVIDENCE, ELEUTHERA, ANDROS, EXUMA, CAT ISLAND, AND LONG ISLAND.

MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT AS LARGE TO DANGEROUS SWELLS ARE AFFECTING THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

THE NEXT ALERT ON HURRICANE DORIAN WILL BE ISSUED AT 6:00 AM, WEDNESDAY 4TH SEPTEMBER 2019.

PREPARED BY: IAN V. MCKENZIE

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