Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Jun 13 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a surface trough.

This area of disturbed weather, accompanied by strong gusty winds, is forecast to move west-northwestward over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula later tonight, and move into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Thursday afternoon.

No development is expected for the next day or so due to land interaction with the Yucatan Peninsula and strong upper-level winds. However, environmental conditions could become slightly more conducive for some development of this disturbance while it moves across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Friday and Saturday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

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