Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Tue, Nov 21st 2023, 06:26 PM



412

ABNT20 KNHC 212325

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

700 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2023



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Central Caribbean Sea (AL99):

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a weak low pressure over

the central Caribbean have diminished since yesterday. Nearby dry

air is forecast to prevent any additional development of the system

as it moves slowly westward during the next couple of days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.



Central Subtropical Atlantic:

An area of low pressure is expected to develop along a frontal

boundary over the central subtropical Atlantic within the next day

or so. This non-tropical low is forecast to move southeastward

across the central subtropical Atlantic over warmer sea surface

temperatures during the next few days, and environmental conditions

could allow for this system to gradually acquire tropical or

subtropical characteristics. A subtropical or tropical storm could

form by the latter part of this week or this weekend, as the system

turns northeastward by the weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



$$

Forecaster Brown


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