000

ABNT20 KNHC 211723

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

100 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2023



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Central Caribbean Sea (AL99):

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low

pressure over the central Caribbean have not become any better

organized today. Nearby dry air is forecast to prevent additional

significant development of the system as it moves slowly westward

during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Central Subtropical Atlantic:

An area of low pressure is expected to develop along a frontal

boundary over the central subtropical Atlantic later today or

tonight. This non-tropical low is forecast to move southeastward

across the central subtropical Atlantic over warmer sea surface

temperatures during the next few days, and environmental conditions

appear conducive for this system to gradually acquire tropical

characteristics. A subtropical or tropical storm could form by the

latter part of this week, as the system continues moving eastward

followed by a turn northeastward by the weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



$$

Forecaster Kelly

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center