Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-two Forecast Advisory Number 4

Fri, Nov 17th 2023, 09:33 AM

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI NOV 17 2023

000
WTNT22 KNHC 171433
TCMAT2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL222023
1500 UTC FRI NOV 17 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 79.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 120SE

0SW

0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 79.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 79.8W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.3N 76.8W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.9N 73.3W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE

0SW

0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 25.2N 68.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE

0SW

0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 28.3N 64.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW

0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.8N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW

0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 79.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 17/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG

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