000

ABNT20 KNHC 142309

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

700 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Southwestern Caribbean Sea:

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the

southwestern Caribbean Sea is associated with a broad trough of low

pressure. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for

development of this system, and a tropical depression could form

late this week while the system begins moving northeastward across

the western and central portions of the Caribbean Sea. Interests in

Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, the southeastern

Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands should monitor the

progress of this system. Regardless of development, this system has

the potential to produce heavy rains over portions of the Caribbean

coast of Central America and the Greater Antilles through the end of

this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Offshore Southeast Coast of United States:

An area of low pressure is expected to develop near southern Florida

in a day or so. This system is then forecast to move northeastward

near the Bahamas and offshore of the east coast of the U.S. late

this week and over the weekend. Although development into a tropical

cyclone appears unlikely, this system is expected to produce gusty

winds and heavy rains across portions of southern Florida, the

Florida Keys, and the Bahamas during the next couple of days. For

more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High

Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service

can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01

KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php



$$

Forecaster Kelly

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center