047

ABNT20 KNHC 270556

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Mon Jun 27 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with a

tropical wave located about 950 miles east-southeast of the southern

Windward Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for

further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form

during the next couple of days before the system reaches the

Windward Islands Tuesday night or possibly while moving westward

across the southern Caribbean Sea Wednesday through Friday. A NOAA

Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system

this afternoon. Interests in the Windward Islands and along the

northeastern coast of Venezuela should monitor the progress of this

system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for

portions of these areas later today. Regardless of development,

locally heavy rainfall is possible over the Windward Islands and the

northeastern coast of Venezuela Tuesday night and Wednesday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Northern Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the north-central and

northeastern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a trough of low

pressure. Development of this system is expected to be slow to

occur while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph toward the

northwestern Gulf of Mexico and approaches the coasts of southern

Texas and northeastern Mexico during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the

Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and

thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could become conducive for

gradual development later this week while the system moves

west-northwestward at around 15 mph over the central tropical

Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$

Forecaster Bucci/Blake

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center