681

ABNT20 KNHC 312343

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disturbed weather has developed near the Yucatan

Peninsula, partially related to the remnants of Agatha interacting

with an upper-level trough over the Gulf of Mexico. Despite this

marginal environment, this system is likely to become a tropical

depression by Friday as it moves northeastward across the Yucatan

Peninsula, the northwestern Caribbean Sea, and southeastern Gulf of

Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely

across portions of southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula,

Guatemala, and Belize during the next couple of days, spreading

across western Cuba, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys on

Friday and Saturday. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula, western

Cuba, the Florida Keys and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the

progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$

Forecaster Papin

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