000

ABNT20 KNHC 311729

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:

A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near

the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple

of days, partially related to the remnants of Agatha from the

eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the area,

this system is likely to become a tropical depression while it

moves northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and

southeastern Gulf of Mexico late Thursday or Friday. Regardless of

development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of

southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize

during the next couple of days, spreading across western Cuba,

southern Florida, and the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday.

Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys

and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this

system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$

Forecaster Brown/Bucci

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center