000

ABNT20 KNHC 131728

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite-derived wind data and surface observations indicate that

a broad low pressure system has formed about 200 miles northeast of

the Turks and Caicos. This system is producing a large area of

disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly over the open Atlantic

to the north and east of the low. Further development, if any, of

this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next couple of

days due to unfavorable upper-level winds. The system is forecast

to move slowly northeastward through tonight, then accelerate

eastward on Thursday. Toward the end of the week, further

development is not anticipated since the disturbance will be

interacting with a frontal system. The threat of locally heavy

rainfall across portions of Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos

will diminish by tonight.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$

Forecaster Stewart

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