000
ABNT20 KNHC 271857 CCA
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021
Corrected geographic reference for the remnants of Peter
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
The area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter is
located a few miles east of Bermuda. The low has become better
defined today, and the shower and thunderstorm activity has become a
little better organized. Any further increase in organization could
result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression, while
it moves northeastward at about 10 mph. By Wednesday, environmental
conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for further
development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely
to form in a few of days while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
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