000

ABNT20 KNHC 260521

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Sun Sep 26 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Sam, located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward

Islands.

An elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms

associated with the remnants of Peter is located several hundred

miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Upper-level winds only appear

marginally conducive for some slow development of this disturbance

over the next few days as it moves northeastward at about 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on

Monday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for

gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form

by midweek while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at

10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A broad area of low pressure could form over the eastern or central

tropical Atlantic early this week, to the west of the tropical wave

that will be moving off the coast of Africa. Thereafter,

environmental conditions could support some development of this

disturbance while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph through the

middle of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$

Forecaster Reinhart

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center