000

ABNT20 KNHC 142339

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Tue Sep 14 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on

recently downgraded Tropical Depression Nicholas, located near Port

Arthur, Texas.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area

located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands are

becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are expected

to remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is

likely to form during the next couple of days while system moves

generally westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical

Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles

north-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas is producing a large

area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental

conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for gradual

development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is

likely to form while the system moves north-northwestward to

northward across the western Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast of

Africa toward the end of the week. Environment conditions are

forecast to be conducive for development thereafter, while it moves

generally west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$

Forecaster Roberts

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center