Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 09 2021
ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER
1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
AL062021
2100 UTC MON AUG 09 2021
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS BEEN ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS BEEN ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR DOMINICA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE EASTWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE ISLAND AND THE ENTIRE NORTHERN
COAST TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE SOUTH COAST FROM PUNTA PALENQUE
EASTWARD AND THE ENTIRE NORTHERN COAST TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 59.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 59.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 58.6W
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.4N 61.4W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE
0SE
0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.8N 64.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE
0SE
0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.9N 67.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE
0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.2N 70.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE
0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 20.3N 72.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE
0SE
0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.1N 75.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE
0SE
0SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 22.8N 78.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 24.5N 82.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 59.2W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 10/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PAPIN
NNNN
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