000

ABNT20 KNHC 170540

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Thu Jun 17 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad low pressure area located over the eastern portion of the

Bay of Campeche is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized

showers and a few thunderstorms. This system will move little

today, and little if any development is expected during that time

due to interaction with land and unfavorable upper-level winds.

However, the low should begin to move northward by this afternoon,

and a tropical or subtropical depression is likely to form by late

tonight or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of

Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is

scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if

necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue

over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next

few days. Heavy rains should also begin to affect portions of the

northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your

local meteorological service for more information.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$

Forecaster Stewart

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center