Hurricane Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 36

Tue, Sep 15th 2020, 04:34 PM

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020

000
WTNT22 KNHC 152034
TCMAT2

HURRICANE PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL172020
2100 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 55.0W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 110SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 200SE 130SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 360SE 420SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 55.0W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 56.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 41.4N 50.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 110SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 130SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 44.0N 42.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 20SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...190NE 230SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.8N 36.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 210SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 45.8N 33.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE

0SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 200SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 43.9N 32.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 150SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 41.2N 32.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE

0SE 70SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 38.0N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 34.5N 32.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 55.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

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