Hurricane Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 32

Mon, Sep 14th 2020, 04:39 PM

Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 14 2020

000
WTNT22 KNHC 142039
TCMAT2

HURRICANE PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL172020
2100 UTC MON SEP 14 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 63.8W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 30SE

0SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 63.8W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 64.4W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.1N 61.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.4N 57.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.8N 51.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 43.3N 44.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.4N 39.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 170SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 46.6N 35.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 180SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 44.3N 32.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 39.1N 31.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 63.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

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