000

ABNT20 KNHC 141147

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Humberto, centered just east of the northwestern Bahamas.

A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 950 miles east

of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower

activity, and significant development of this system is not

anticipated during the next several days while it moves

quickly westward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

An elongated area of disturbed weather is located about 650 miles

southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this

system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical

depression could form early next week while it moves westward

across the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

The area of disturbed weather that was located midway between the

Lesser Antilles and the Cabo Verde Islands has merged with the

easternmost tropical wave mentioned above. Development of the

original disturbance is no longer anticipated.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of

Mexico is primarily associated with a upper-level low pressure

area. Only slow development of this system is likely during the

next couple of days. However, conditions could become more

conducive for development early next week as the system moves

over the western Gulf of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$

Forecaster Brown

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center