Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 15

Sat, Sep 29th 2018, 10:40 PM

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL132018
0300 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 52.0W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT

5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 100SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 240SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 52.0W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 51.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 33.4N 52.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.0N 53.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE

0SE

0SW

0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.6N 53.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE

0SE

0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.2N 54.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.0N 54.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 150SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 31.7N 54.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 34.5N 53.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 52.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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