Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 14

Sat, Sep 29th 2018, 04:31 PM

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018

771
WTNT23 KNHC 292031
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL132018
2100 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 51.3W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT

5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 100SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 240SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 51.3W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 51.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.6N 52.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 33.1N 53.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE

0SE

0SW

0NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.8N 53.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE

0SE

0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.5N 53.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE

0SE

0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.5N 54.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 170SW 230NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 31.5N 54.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 34.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 51.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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