Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018

175
WTNT23 KNHC 291445
TCMAT3

SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL132018
1500 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 50.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT

6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......220NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 540SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 50.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 50.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 33.8N 51.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 33.3N 52.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.1N 53.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE

0SE

0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.8N 54.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE

0SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.6N 55.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 150SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 31.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 33.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 50.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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