General Situation: A gale center associated with a low pressure system off the Carolina’s coastline will maintain brisk winds over the NW and Central Bahamas until a cold front around Central Florida push through the Grand Bahama and Abaco area tonight and the rest of the NW Bahamas early Tuesday. The front will bring cloudiness and showers or possible thunderstorms across the Central and SE Bahamas while drier and cooler conditions follow across the NW Bahamas on Wednesday. As high pressure system rebuilds from Southern United States a warming trend will take place over the Bahamas as lingering moisture from remnants of front trigger showers or possible thunderstorms across the SE Bahamas through the weekend. A weak front or trough will bring clouds and showers to the NW and Central Bahamas on Sunday as moves south and east of the area.
Tuesday 13th – Partly cloudy to cloudy with scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms mainly along and ahead of the front in the Central and SE Bahamas during the day through nightfall. Maximum temperature 76F and minimum temperature 64°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the NW and Central Bahamas early. Winds NW to N at 15 to 25 knots at first, veering N to NE at 10 to 15 knots later in the NW and parts of the Central Bahamas and SW to W at 10 to 15 knots in the SE Bahamas becoming NE’ly at 10 to 15 knots later. Seas 4 to 6 feet in the NW and parts of the Central Bahamas and 2 to 4 feet in the SE Bahamas.
Wednesday 14th – Partly cloudy to cloudy and mild with few scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms around the Central and SE Bahamas during the day through nightfall. Maximum temperature 75°F and minimum temperature 65°F. Winds NE’ly at 10 to 15 knots and gusty over all areas, falling light and variable at times. Seas 2 to 4 feet over the ocean for all areas but higher in gusts. Thursday 15th – A mix of sun and clouds with scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms mainly across the SE Bahamas during the day. Clearing skies across the NW and Central Bahamas but partly cloudy across the SE Bahamas at night. Maximum temperature 76°F and minimum temperature 62°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the Central and SE Bahamas. Winds N to NE at 10 to 15 knots with higher gusts at times in the NW Bahamas and NE’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW Bahamas and 4 to 7 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas.
Friday 16th – Partly cloudy and warm during the day with lingering scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms mainly across the SE Bahamas at night. Maximum temperature 78°F and minimum temperature 64°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the SE Bahamas. Winds NE to E at 10 knots or less in the NW Bahamas; E’ly at 10 to 15 knots with higher gusts in the Central Bahamas and E’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the SE Bahamas. Seas 1 to 3 feet in the NW Bahamas; 2 to 4 feet but higher in gusts in the Central Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet in the SE Bahamas.
Saturday 17th – Partly sunny and warm during the day with scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms in the SE Bahamas early. Partly cloudy to fair skies at night. Maximum temperature 82°F and minimum temperature 65°F. Winds variable at 10 knots or less in the NW Bahamas becoming N to NE at 10 to 15 knots later but NE’ly at 20 to 25 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas increasing to 15 to 20 knots late in the SE Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet for all areas but building to 4 to 6 late in the SE Bahamas.
Sunday 18th – Partly sunny and warm with few scattered showers mainly in the NW Bahamas during the day. Partly cloudy to fair skies at night with some scattered or isolated thunderstorms mainly across the NW and Central Bahamas at night. Maximum temperature 83°F and minimum temperature 68°F. Small craft should exercise caution in pockets of the NW and SE Bahamas. Winds NE to E at 10 to 15 knots over most areas but pockets of 15 to 20 knots mainly across the NW and SE Bahamas at times. Seas 2 to 4 feet over all areas but building to 4 to 7 feet in pockets over the NW and SE Bahamas.
Beachgoers and mariners should exercise extreme caution due to high surf and the risk of dangerous rip currents along the northern and eastern shorelines during stated advisories.
Geoffrey N. Greene
