000

ABNT20 KNHC 012329

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently

upgraded Hurricane Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic

Ocean.



Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:

A broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of

disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the southwestern

Caribbean Sea into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental

conditions could support some gradual development of this system,

and a tropical depression could form towards the end of the week or

over the weekend as the broader disturbance moves fully into the

Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue

to monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):

Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of

low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo

Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for

further development of this system, and a tropical depression is

expected to form during the next day or two while it moves slowly

westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



$$

Forecaster Bucci

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center