Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024

000
WTNT22 KNHC 012054
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL122024
2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 40.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE

0SE

0SW

0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE

0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE 70SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 40.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 39.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.1N 41.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE

0SE

0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.3N 43.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.4N 44.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.4N 46.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.5N 47.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.9N 49.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 27.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 33.0N 49.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...120NE 115SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 40.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER MORA/PAPIN

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center