000

ABNT20 KNHC 041756

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Northwestern Atlantic:

A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east

of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and

thunderstorms. This system could acquire some subtropical

characteristics over the next few days as it moves north-

northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States.

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas

Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is producing

a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across

portions of the central Caribbean Sea. Some development is possible

early next week when the system moves over the southwestern Gulf of

Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:

Another tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the

Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm

activity. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be

slow to occur over the next couple of days while it moves

west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are

expected to become less favorable for additional development by the

end of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:

An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical

Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some

slow development of this system is possible during the next few days

while it drifts northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



&&

High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service

under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online

at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php



$$

Forecaster Hagen

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center