000

ABNT20 KNHC 041151

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is

producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms

near southeastern Cuba, Jamaica, and across portions of the central

Caribbean Sea. Some development is possible late this week when the

wave slows down over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or early next

week over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:

Another tropical wave located about 800 miles east of the Lesser

Antilles is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.

Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur

over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at

10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to become

unfavorable for additional development by the end of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:

A third tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is also

producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of

this system is possible during the next few days while it moves

slowly northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the eastern tropical

Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce locally heavy rains

across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



$$

Forecaster Hagen

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center