The Bahamas Public Forecast For Today And Tonight, Friday 14th June 2024

Fri, Jun 14th 2024, 08:21 AM

GENERAL SITUATION: An elongated tropical disturbance moving along the US eastern seaboard, and a potent mid to upper level trough stretching across the Gulf of Mexico, will funnel deep tropical moisture while dragging a trailing trough across the northern extent of the area. These systems will produce bouts of severe weather and heavy rainfall over the Northwest and portions of the Central Bahamas through tonight…Deep layered ridging will continue to buffer the remainder of the islands, allowing for a drier weather pattern to develop throughout the day.

WARNINGS: A Flood Watch is currently in effect for the islands of Grand Bahama, Abaco and Bimini until this afternoon. Flood risks are elevated for the remainder of the Northwest Bahamas due to prolonged and locally torrential rainfall, especially in low-lying and flood-prone areas, as well as areas already inundated with water... For the Northwest Bahamas, there is the potential for severe weather occurrences heading into the weekend. Residents are advised to keep informed of all severe weather issuances from the Bahamas Department of Meteorology for the next few days… For beachgoers in the Northern and Southeast Bahamas, there is a moderate risk of rip currents affecting eastern and southern shorelines.
 
FOR THE NORTHERN (Grand Bahama, Bimini and Abaco) AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS (New Providence, Eleuthera, Andros and the Berry Islands):


WEATHER:   Cloudy to overcast, warm and locally breezy with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms. Showers will become locally heavy and thunderstorms can be strong to severe.

ADVISORY:   A small craft caution is in effect for the Northern Bahamas. Expect gusty winds and higher seas in or near heavy showers and thunderstorms.

WINDS:          South to southwest at 15 to 20 knots today, becoming southwest to west at 15 knots but gusty at times tonight over the northern Bahamas… Southeast to south at 10 to 15 knots but gusty at times today, falling to variable at 10 knots or less by nightfall for the remainder of the area.  

SEAS:              4 to 6 feet over the ocean north of the islands… 2 to 4 feet elsewhere. Expect higher seas in gusty conditions.
 
FOR THE CENTRAL (The Exumas, Cat Island, Long Island, San Salvador and Rum Cay)  AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS (Ragged Island, Crooked Island, Acklins, Mayaguana and Inagua):

WEATHER:   Partly sunny, very warm and a bit breezy with a few isolated showers possibly making landfall later on in the day, turning mostly fair and warm with offshore showers tonight…Expect increased cloudiness with heavier showers and possible thunderstorms mainly affecting the Exumas and Cat Island throughout the day.

ADVISORY:   Expect gusty winds and higher seas in or near heavy showers and thunderstorms.

WINDS:          East to southeast at 15 knots overnight, reducing 10 to 15 knots but gusty at times by the afternoon hours.

SEAS:              3 to 5 feet over the ocean, with seas 1 to 3 feet in sheltered areas and over the banks.
 
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURE             84F      29C     
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE        77F      25C     

SUN, MOON & TIDES

SUNRISE:       6:20 AM         
SUNSET:        7:59 PM                      
MOONRISE:  1:35 PM          
MOONSET:    1:52 AM SAT 
LOW TIDE:   8:44 AM          &         9:07 PM
HIGH TIDE:  2:58 PM           &         3:04 AM SAT


EXTENDED FORECAST (FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS): The low pressure system will continue its trek northeast, keeping moisture and troughing in place for portions of the northwest Bahamas throughout the weekend. The ridging pattern will expand as the disturbance moves further away from the area, allowing a reduction in severe weather occurrences and flood risks across the northern Bahamas by Sunday.
FORECAST FOR SATURDAY  
      

WEATHER: Cloudy to overcast, warm and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Northwest and Central Bahamas. Partly sunny and warm with a few isolated showers across the southeast Bahamas.

WINDS: Southwest to west at 10 to 15 knots, occasionally falling light and variable at times in the Northwest Bahamas. East to southeast at 10 to 15 knots elsewhere.

SEAS: 2 to 4 feet over the ocean.

FORECAST FOR SUNDAY

WEATHER: Partly cloudy to cloudy and warm with widely scattered showers and a few isolated thunderstorms, mainly across the northernmost islands.

WINDS: Northeast to east at 10 to 15 knots, falling light and variable at times.

SEAS: 2 to 4 feet over the ocean.
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK:

1)  An elongated area of low pressure offshore the southeastern United States’ coast is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it slowly moves offshore toward the northeast.  This system has a low, or 20 percent chance of tropical cyclone formation during the next seven (7) days.
2)  A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week.  This system has a medium or 40 percent chance of tropical cyclone formation during the next seven (7) days.

GENERAL SITUATION: An elongated tropical disturbance moving along the US eastern seaboard, and a potent mid to upper level trough stretching across the Gulf of Mexico, will funnel deep tropical moisture while dragging a trailing trough across the northern extent of the area. These systems will produce bouts of severe weather and heavy rainfall over the Northwest and portions of the Central Bahamas through tonight…Deep layered ridging will continue to buffer the remainder of the islands, allowing for a drier weather pattern to develop throughout the day.
WARNINGS: A Flood Watch is currently in effect for the islands of Grand Bahama, Abaco and Bimini until this afternoon. Flood risks are elevated for the remainder of the Northwest Bahamas due to prolonged and locally torrential rainfall, especially in low-lying and flood-prone areas, as well as areas already inundated with water... For the Northwest Bahamas, there is the potential for severe weather occurrences heading into the weekend. Residents are advised to keep informed of all severe weather issuances from the Bahamas Department of Meteorology for the next few days… For beachgoers in the Northern and Southeast Bahamas, there is a moderate risk of rip currents affecting eastern and southern shorelines.
 
FOR THE NORTHERN (Grand Bahama, Bimini and Abaco) AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS (New Providence, Eleuthera, Andros and the Berry Islands):
WEATHER:   Cloudy to overcast, warm and locally breezy with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms. Showers will become locally heavy and thunderstorms can be strong to severe.
ADVISORY:   A small craft caution is in effect for the Northern Bahamas. Expect gusty winds and higher seas in or near heavy showers and thunderstorms.
WINDS:          South to southwest at 15 to 20 knots today, becoming southwest to west at 15 knots but gusty at times tonight over the northern Bahamas… Southeast to south at 10 to 15 knots but gusty at times today, falling to variable at 10 knots or less by nightfall for the remainder of the area.  
SEAS:              4 to 6 feet over the ocean north of the islands… 2 to 4 feet elsewhere. Expect higher seas in gusty conditions.
 
FOR THE CENTRAL (The Exumas, Cat Island, Long Island, San Salvador and Rum Cay)  AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS (Ragged Island, Crooked Island, Acklins, Mayaguana and Inagua):
WEATHER:   Partly sunny, very warm and a bit breezy with a few isolated showers possibly making landfall later on in the day, turning mostly fair and warm with offshore showers tonight…Expect increased cloudiness with heavier showers and possible thunderstorms mainly affecting the Exumas and Cat Island throughout the day.
ADVISORY:   Expect gusty winds and higher seas in or near heavy showers and thunderstorms.
WINDS:          East to southeast at 15 knots overnight, reducing 10 to 15 knots but gusty at times by the afternoon hours.
SEAS:              3 to 5 feet over the ocean, with seas 1 to 3 feet in sheltered areas and over the banks.
 
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURE             84F      29C     
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE        77F      25C     
SUN, MOON & TIDES
SUNRISE:       6:20 AM         
SUNSET:        7:59 PM                      
MOONRISE:  1:35 PM          
MOONSET:    1:52 AM SAT 
LOW TIDE:   8:44 AM          &         9:07 PM
HIGH TIDE:  2:58 PM           &         3:04 AM SAT
EXTENDED FORECAST (FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS): The low pressure system will continue its trek northeast, keeping moisture and troughing in place for portions of the northwest Bahamas throughout the weekend. The ridging pattern will expand as the disturbance moves further away from the area, allowing a reduction in severe weather occurrences and flood risks across the northern Bahamas by Sunday.
FORECAST FOR SATURDAY        
WEATHER: Cloudy to overcast, warm and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Northwest and Central Bahamas. Partly sunny and warm with a few isolated showers across the southeast Bahamas.
WINDS: Southwest to west at 10 to 15 knots, occasionally falling light and variable at times in the Northwest Bahamas. East to southeast at 10 to 15 knots elsewhere.
SEAS: 2 to 4 feet over the ocean.
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY
WEATHER: Partly cloudy to cloudy and warm with widely scattered showers and a few isolated thunderstorms, mainly across the northernmost islands.
WINDS: Northeast to east at 10 to 15 knots, falling light and variable at times.
SEAS: 2 to 4 feet over the ocean.
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK:
1)  An elongated area of low pressure offshore the southeastern United States’ coast is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it slowly moves offshore toward the northeast.  This system has a low, or 20 percent chance of tropical cyclone formation during the next seven (7) days.
2)  A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week.  This system has a medium or 40 percent chance of tropical cyclone formation during the next seven (7) days.
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