ALERT #15 ON TROPICALSTORM NICOLE, ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AT 11PM EST, TUESDAY 8TH NOVEMBER, 2022.
...NICOLE VERY NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHILE HEADED FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS…
...WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE….. LIFE-THREATENING SEA CONDITIONS PERSIST IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS…
A HURRICANEWARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDSOF GRAND BAHAMA, ABACO, BIMINI, AND THE BERRY ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN THE ABOVE-MENTIONED ISLANDS WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICALSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF ELEUTHERA, NEW PROVIDENCE AND ANDROS.
A TROPICALSTORM WARNING MEANSTHAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN THE ABOVE-MENTIONED ISLANDS WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 10PM EST, THE CENTEROF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1° DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 74.8° DEGREES WEST, OR ABOUT:
- 140 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF HOPE TOWN, ABACO
- 195 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF EAST END, GRAND BAHAMA
- 160 MILES NORTHEAST OF GOVERNOR’S HARBOUR,ELEUTHERA
- 210 MILES NORTHEAST OF NEW PROVIDENCE
- AND 240 MILES NORTHEAST OF NICHOLL’STOWN, ANDROS.
NICOLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. A WEST-SOUTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. A WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER ON WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF NICOLE WILL APPROACH THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS OVERNIGHT, MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE ISLANDS OF ABACO AND GRAND BAHAMA ON WEDNESDAY, AND APPROACH THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, AND NICOLE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT WHEN IT IS NEAR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS, AND REMAIN A HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 380 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATECOAST IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY NICOLE WILL AFFECT THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
NICOLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMASTODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
THE FORMATION OF WATERSPOUTS AND TORNADOS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE PASSAGE OF NICOLE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS. BOATERS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT OR MOVE VESSELS TO SAFE HARBOUR.
RESIDENTS, PARTICULARLY ON THE ISLANDS OF GRAND BAHAMA, ABACO, BIMINI AND THE BERRY ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICOLE.
