Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Mon, Sep 27th 2021, 02:41 PM

000

ABNT20 KNHC 271751

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

The area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter has

become better defined today, and the shower and thunderstorm

activity has become a little better organized. Any further

increase in organization could result in the formation of a

short-lived tropical depression, while it moves northeastward at

about 10 mph. By Wednesday, environmental conditions are expected

to become unfavorable for further development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest

of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and

thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for further

development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely

to form in a few of days while it moves westward to

west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical

Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa is

producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual development, and a

tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system

moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far

eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$

Forecaster Hagen/Pasch

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center

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