000

ABNT20 KNHC 281745

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Sat Aug 28 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Ida, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical

Depression Ten, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in

association with an area of low pressure located over the central

Atlantic. In addition, satellite wind data indicate that the

circulation has become a little better defined. Although

environmental conditions remain only marginally conducive for

further development, only a slight increase in organization would

result in the formation of a tropical depression later today or

tonight. In a couple of days, the system is forecast to be

absorbed by a frontal system. The disturbance is expected to drift

eastward through today, then accelerate northeastward Sunday toward

the central north Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of west Africa

by the middle of next week. Thereafter, environmental conditions

appear somewhat conducive for gradual development toward the end of

next week as the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at

10 to 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO

header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.

Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under

WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

$$

Forecaster Roberts

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center