000

ABNT20 KNHC 050540

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Thu Aug 5 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave just inland over Africa is producing a large area of

showers and thunderstorms over the Guinea Highlands. This wave is

expected to move off the west African coast later today.

Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for gradual

development, and a tropical depression could form over the eastern

tropical Atlantic by early next week while the system moves westward

to west-northwestward at about 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is

producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for

some slow development east of the Lesser Antilles by early next week

while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$

Forecaster Papin/Beven

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center