000

ABNT20 KNHC 140540

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of cloudiness and showers located over the Bay of

Campeche is associated with a broad low pressure area. Some slow

development of this disturbance is possible during the next few

days while it meanders near the coast of Mexico, and a tropical

depression could form late in the week when the system begins to

move slowly northward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is

possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during

the next several days. Please consult products from your local

meteorological service for more information.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system is located about

100 miles southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina. Satellite and

radar data indicate that showers and thunderstorms have become a

little more concentrated near the center this morning. Furthermore,

recent satellite-derived wind data and surface observations indicate

that the circulation has become better defined, although the system

is still interacting with a frontal boundary. The low is forecast to

move northeastward for the next few days while passing over or near

the warm Gulf Stream today and Tuesday, which could allow for some

tropical development to occur while the system moves away from the

United States. The low should move over colder waters south of Nova

Scotia by early Wednesday, ending any opportunity for further

development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$

Forecaster Stewart

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center