Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 8

Tue, Oct 20th 2020, 10:35 PM

Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 21 2020

564
WTNT22 KNHC 210235
TCMAT2

HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL272020
0300 UTC WED OCT 21 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 56.8W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE

0SE

0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 30SE

0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......300NE 90SE 50SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..800NE 360SE 520SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 56.8W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 56.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.2N 58.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE

0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 100SE 60SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.9N 59.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE

0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...250NE 120SE 80SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 31.0N 60.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE

0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...230NE 130SE 90SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 32.2N 61.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE

0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.5N 61.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 100SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 34.6N 62.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...220NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 38.4N 58.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 44.0N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 56.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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