Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 3

Mon, Oct 19th 2020, 04:46 PM

Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2020

000
WTNT22 KNHC 192046
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL272020
2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 55.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT

0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 60SE

0SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 60SE 30SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 55.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 55.4W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.9N 55.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...250NE 90SE

0SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 27.0N 56.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE

0SE

0SW 30NW.
34 KT...270NE 100SE 40SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.1N 57.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 30SE

0SW 60NW.
34 KT...270NE 110SE 60SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.8N 59.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE

0SE

0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 70NW.
34 KT...210NE 100SE 80SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.8N 60.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.1N 61.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 32.8N 62.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 35.5N 62.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN

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