Tropical Depression Eleven Forecast Advisory Number 3

Wed, Aug 12th 2020, 04:48 AM

Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 12 2020

000
WTNT21 KNHC 120848
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL112020
0900 UTC WED AUG 12 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 42.9W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 42.9W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 42.3W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.6N 44.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE

0SE

0SW

0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.2N 47.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE

0SE

0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.0N 49.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE

0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.1N 52.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE

0SE

0SW

0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.3N 54.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE

0SE

0SW

0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N 57.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 20.1N 61.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 22.9N 65.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 42.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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