000

ABNT20 KNHC 090510

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface observations along with satellite and radar data indicate

that an area of low pressure located about 50 miles east of

Wilmington, North Carolina, is gradually becoming better defined.

The associated showers and thunderstorms are still disorganized,

however, and are mostly confined to the east of the center. The

low is expected to move northeastward or north-northeastward near

or just offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks later today and

then along the mid-Atlantic coast tonight and Friday. Environmental

conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a

tropical or subtropical cyclone will likely form later today or

tonight.

Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce

locally heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across

portions of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and

southern New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also

possible along the North Carolina Outer Banks today, and along

the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and

Saturday. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of

this system and refer to products from your local National Weather

Service office. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is

scheduled to investigate this system later today, if necessary.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$

Forecaster Cangialosi

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center