General Situation: A cold front over the NW Bahamas will continue to move southeastward while high pressure ridge issues cooler and drier conditions across the island chain in its wake. As high pressure ridge weakens north of the area another cold front will move near the Northwest Bahamas and shift eastward on Wednesday, followed by a weak cold front moving into the NW Bahamas on Thursday. As the weak front dissipates over the Bahamas a third front will move into the NW Bahamas pushed by a building high pressure ridge through the area. The front will shift through the Central Bahamas as high pressure builds in its wake.
Monday 02nd – Partly cloudy, windy and warm with few passing showers or a possible isolated thunderstorm during the daytime in the NW Bahamas, turning partly mostly fair, breezy, and cool at night with the slight chance of a passing shower. Elsewhere, partly sunny and warm with isolated showers mainly across the Central Bahamas during the daytime, turning partly cloudy to fair and mild at night with few showers likely. Maximum temperature 83°F and a minimum temperature 63°F. Small craft advisory across the NW Bahamas and small craft caution across the Central and SE Bahamas. Winds SW to W at 15 to 25 knots, switching to W to NW at 15 to 25 knots in the NW Bahamas and SW to W at 10 to 15 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas early, increasing to 12 to 18 knots in the Central Bahamas late. Seas 5 to 8 feet in moderate to large N’ly and NE’ly swells over the ocean in the NW Bahamas, and 2 to 4 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas up to 7 feet in the NE’ly swells but up to 5 feet in the Central Bahamas late.
Tuesday 03rd – Partly cloudy to cloudy, breezy and cool across the NW and Central Bahamas during the daytime but mostly sunny and warm across the SE Bahamas. Partly cloudy to fair skies with few lingering showers likely overall areas. Maximum temperature 78°F and a minimum temperature 63°F. Small craft advisory exercise caution across the entire Bahamas. Winds W’ly to NW’ly at 15 to 20 knots overall areas with higher gusts at times during the daytime, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots at night, falling light and variable at times. Seas 4 to 7 feet at first overall areas early but falling to 2 to 4 feet later with NW’ly to N’ly swells up to 7 feet.
Wednesday 04th – Partly cloudy to cloudy and mild across the Bahamas with the slight chance of a shower during the daytime, turning partly cloudy and cool at night. Maximum temperature 74°F and minimum temperature 64°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the NW and Central Bahamas at times. Winds W to NW at 15 to 20 knots across the NW and Central Bahamas, falling to 10 knots or less at times and variable at 10 knots or less at first in the SE Bahamas, switching W to NW at 10 to 15 knots late. Seas 4 to 7 feet over the ocean with diminishing to 1 to 3 feet late.
Thursday 05th – Partly to mostly cloudy and warm with few lingering passing showers near the SE Bahamas during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 73°F and minimum temperature 64°F. Winds NW’ly to N’ly at 10 to 15 knots, switching more N to NE at 10 to 15 knots later, falling light and variable at times. Seas 2 to 4 feet over the entire Bahamas with light mixed swells.
Friday 06th – Partly to mostly cloudy and warm with few passing showers mainly across the SE Bahamas during the daytime. Cloudy periods and cool at night with showers continuing across the SE Bahamas. Maximum temperature 79°F and minimum temperature 64°F. Small craft should continue to exercise caution over the SE Bahamas. Winds E to SE at 10 knots or less across the NW Bahamas; E’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the Central Bahamas and E’ly 15 to 20 knots in the SE Bahamas. Seas 1 to 3 feet in the NW Bahamas; 2 to 4 feet in the Central Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet in the SE Bahamas.
Saturday 07th – Partly sunny, a bit breezy and warm with the chance of few scattered showers across the Central and SE Bahamas during the daytime. Partly cloudy to fair skies and mild at night with few lingering showers over the Bahamas. Maximum temperature 80°F and minimum temperature 66°F. Small craft should exercise caution across most of the Bahamas by afternoon. Winds NE’ly at 10 knots or less in the NW Bahamas and NE to E at 10 to 15 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, increasing to 15 to 20 knots across most of the Bahamas by afternoon. Seas 1 to 3 feet in the NW Bahamas, and 2 to 4 feet in the Central SE Bahamas, building to 4 to 6 feet over most areas later.
Sunday 08th – Partly to mostly sunny, breezy and warm with a few scattered showers overall areas during the daytime. Mostly fair and mild at night with lingering clouds and showers across the SE Bahamas. Maximum temperature 81°F and minimum temperature 68°F. Small craft advisory across the NW Bahamas becomes a caution later while caution is across the Central and SE Bahamas early. Winds NE to E at 15 to 25 knots in the NW Bahamas, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots or less later and NE to E at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas early, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots later, but gusty at times. Seas 5 to 8 feet in the NW Bahamas falling to 2 to 4 feet later and 4 to 7 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas, falling to 2 to 4 feet later, but higher in gusts.
Beachgoers and mariners should be vigilant for rough surf and the moderate to high risk of dangerous rip currents mainly along the north and east coast beaches during the stated advisories. Mariners should exercise caution for gusty winds and higher seas during heavy showers or strong to severe thunderstorms. Mariners should also be alert for waterspout activity during the daytime through nightfall across all areas. Localized flooding during heavy downpours across low lying and flood prone areas is expected.
