General Situation: A weak cold front will move near the NW Bahamas early Thursday, then dissipate as it shifts eastwards later. Meanwhile, a stronger cold front will shift south-eastwards across the area by late Friday into early Saturday morning bringing cloudiness and some pockets of unsettled weather to the archipelago. The cold front stalls across the Central Bahamas on Sunday as a high pressure ridge builds north of the area. The front will become quasi-stationary across the Bahamas through Tuesday, exiting just as another cooler cold front moves through the NW Bahamas by Wednesday morning.

Thursday 07th – Partly cloudy, a bit breezy and very warm across most areas with spotty showers or a possible thunderstorm mainly across the Central and SE Bahamas during the daytime. Partly cloudy to fair and warm with few lingering showers at night. Maximum temperature 88°F and minimum temperature 73°F. Small craft should exercise caution overall areas early. Winds NE to E at 15 to 20 knots overall areas early, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots with few gusts later. Seas 4 to 6 feet overall areas early, falling to 2 to 4 feet later but higher in gusts at times. Light to moderate NE’ly swells over open exposed Atlantic waters expected.

Friday 08th – Partly to mostly sunny, very warm and humid with few passing showers likely during the daytime. By night, cloudy patches and warm conditions with few lingering showers across the NW and Central Bahamas as mainly fair and warm conditions occur in the SE Bahamas. Maximum temperature 88°F and minimum temperature 77°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the SE Bahamas early. Winds E’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the NW and Central Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E’ly at 15 to 20 knots early in the SE Bahamas, falling to 10 to 15 knots later. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW and Central Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times and 4 to 6 feet in the SE Bahamas early, falling to 2 to 4 feet later. Light NE’ly to E’ly swells diminishing overall areas over open exposed Atlantic waters.

Saturday 09th – Variably cloudy, very warm and windy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly across the NW and Central Bahamas in the vicinity of the front early. Partly cloudy to cloudy with lingering showers mainly across the NW and SE Bahamas at night. Maximum temperature 85°F and minimum temperature 75°F. Small craft advisory for the NW Bahamas and caution for the Central Bahamas early adjusting to an advisory late. Winds NE to E at 10 knots or less overall areas early, then becomes NE’ly at 15 to 25 knots with stronger gusts across the NW Bahamas; N to NE at 15 to 20 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots late in the Central Bahamas and light and variable in the SE Bahamas becomes N to NE at 10 to 15 knots later. Seas 1 to 3 feet in the NW Bahamas builds to 5 to 8 feet later, as 1 to 3 feet early in the Central Bahamas builds to 4 to 6 feet, then to 5 to 8 feet late and 1 to 3 feet in the SE Bahamas builds to 2 to 4 feet later. Moderate to large N’ly swells mainly across the NW and Central Bahamas over open exposed Atlantic waters.

Sunday 10th – Variably cloudy, breezy, and mild with few scattered showers or a possible isolated thunderstorm in the SE Bahamas during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 82°F and minimum temperature 73°F. Small craft should exercise caution overall areas behind the front with an advisory shifting across parts of the Bahamas late. Winds NE’ly at 15 to 20 knots overall areas behind the front and NE to E at 10 to 15 knots across the SE Bahamas ahead of the front but increasing to 20 to 25 knots over some areas of the Bahamas late. Seas 4 to 6 feet overall areas behind the front and 2 to 4 feet in the SE Bahamas ahead of the front, but building to 6 to 9 feet over some parts of the Bahamas later. Moderate to large N’ly to NE’ly swells diminishing over open Atlantic waters.

Monday 11th – Partly to mostly sunny, breezy and mild with few lingering scattered showers or a possible isolated thunderstorm in the SE Bahamas during the daytime. Mostly fair and a bit breezy at night except for cloudy periods and a few scattered showers or a possible thunderstorm in the SE Bahamas. Maximum temperature 84°F and a minimum temperature 74°F. Small craft should exercise caution overall areas but winds will diminish over some areas later. Winds NE to E at 15 to 20 knots overall areas, but falling to below cautionary winds over some areas later. Seas 4 to 6 feet overall areas but falling to below cautionary seas over some areas later. Some lingering light to moderate NE’ly to E’ly swells over open exposed Atlantic waters.

Tuesday 12th – Partly to mostly sunny and very warm with possible scattered showers or a possible isolated thunderstorm across Central and SE Bahamas during the daytime. Partly cloudy to fair skies and warm at night with the lingering showers mainly across the Central Bahamas. Maximum temperature 87°F and a minimum temperature 75°F. Winds E to SE at 10 knots or less in the NW Bahamas and E’ly at 10 to 15 knots veering SE to S at 10 to 15 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, falling light and variable at times mainly in the Central Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet overall areas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times mainly across the NW and Central Bahamas.

Wednesday 13th – Partly to mostly sunny, very warm and humid with few widely scattered showers and the slight chance of a thunderstorm during the daytime. Partly cloudy to cloudy and warm across the Bahamas with few lingering scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly across the NW and SE Bahamas. Maximum temperature 87°F and minimum temperature 70°F. Small craft advisory comes into effect for the NW Bahamas by late afternoon through evening. Winds variable at 10 knots or less at first but turning N to NE at 20 30 knots across the Extreme NW Bahamas; N to NE at 15 to 25 knots in the rest of the NW Bahamas and NE to E at 10 to 15 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, falling light and variable at times. Seas 7 to 10 feet across the Extreme NW Bahamas; 5 to 8 feet across the rest of the NW Bahamas and 2 to 4 feet or less over the Central and SE Bahamas.

Beachgoers and mariners should be vigilant for rough surf and the moderate to high risk of dangerous rip currents mainly along the north and east coast beaches during the stated advisories. Mariners should exercise caution for gusty winds and higher seas during heavy showers or strong to severe thunderstorms. Mariners should also be alert for waterspout activity during the daytime through nightfall across all areas. Localized flooding during heavy downpours across low lying and flood prone areas is expected.