Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

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October 09, 2019

000

ABNT20 KNHC 091745

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system located several hundred miles

east of Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm

activity. Although some limited development is still possible today,

upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further

development by tonight, and the chance of this system becoming a

tropical or subtropical cyclone is decreasing.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the

United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low

pressure that is producing gale-force winds. This system is

forecast to strengthen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of

the United States during the next day or so. Environmental

conditions are expected to be unfavorable for significant

subtropical or tropical cyclone development through the end of the

week as it meanders offshore the United States. Regardless of

development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal

flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid-Atlantic and

northeastern United States coasts through late week. Additional

information on this system can also be found in local products and

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles

southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina is becoming poorly

defined. Upper level winds remain only marginally favorable for some

additional development today. By tonight, the system is forecast to

merge with the low off the east coast of the United States.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service

can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01

KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$

Forecaster Latto/McElroy

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center

News date : 10/09/2019    Category : Hurricane, Weather

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