Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

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September 11, 2019

000

ABNT20 KNHC 111716

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD

200 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of showers and thunderstorms was located along a

sharp surface trough from near eastern Cuba through the southeastern

Bahamas into the southwestern Atlantic. Conditions are forecast to

become more favorable for development late this week, and a tropical

depression could form near the northwestern Bahamas or South Florida

as early as Friday. Further development is possible over the eastern

Gulf of Mexico later this weekend. The disturbance will likely

produce periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across the

Bahamas through Friday, and across Florida during the weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A broad low pressure system, associated with a tropical wave, was

located about 500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This

disturbance is accompanied by a few thunderstorms showing little

organization. The system is forecast to move westward where

upper-level winds will become even less favorable for tropical

cyclone formation.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave located in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean near

the Cabo Verde Islands is forecast to move quickly westward

during the next several days. Environmental conditions may become

more favorable for development as the system approaches the Lesser

Antilles from late this weekend into early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$

Forecaster Burke/Blake

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center

News date : 09/11/2019    Category : Hurricane, Weather

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