000

ABNT20 KNHC 101755

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD

200 PM EDT Tue Sep 10 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory

on Post-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle, located over the far north

Atlantic Ocean.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a surface trough

near the southeastern Bahamas and adjacent Atlantic waters has

increased since yesterday. Limited development of this disturbance

is expected during the next couple of days while it moves

west-northwestward across the Bahamas. However, environmental

conditions could become a little more conducive for development when

the system moves over the Florida Straits and the Gulf of Mexico

late this week and this weekend. Regardless of development, this

disturbance will produce periods of locally heavy rainfall across

the Bahamas through Thursday, and across Florida on Friday and

continuing into the weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave located

about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing

disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although some slight

development of this system is possible today or Wednesday, by

Thursday, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for

tropical cyclone formation. This disturbance is expected to move

slowly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean for the next

several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and the

Cabo Verde Islands is expected to move quickly westward during the

next several days. Some slow development is possible over the

weekend when the system is a few hundred miles east of the Windward

Islands.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$

Forecaster Hamrick/Blake

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center